Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001785 0.001898 0.002013 0.002142 0.002282 0.002429 0.002595
2025-03-23 0.001609 0.001765 0.001932 0.002126 0.002346 0.002587 0.002874
2025-03-30 0.001489 0.001672 0.001876 0.002119 0.002404 0.002729 0.003131
2025-04-06 0.001383 0.001583 0.001810 0.002089 0.002425 0.002820 0.003323
2025-04-13 0.001293 0.001503 0.001747 0.002053 0.002431 0.002887 0.003485
2025-04-20 0.001196 0.001409 0.001659 0.001980 0.002383 0.002880 0.003548
2025-04-27 0.001158 0.001381 0.001650 0.001999 0.002448 0.003015 0.003796
2025-05-04 0.001135 0.001371 0.001659 0.002041 0.002542 0.003188 0.004103
2025-05-11 0.001123 0.001373 0.001682 0.002100 0.002660 0.003397 0.004468
2025-05-18 0.001094 0.001351 0.001674 0.002117 0.002720 0.003530 0.004735
2025-05-25 0.001044 0.001300 0.001626 0.002077 0.002702 0.003554 0.004845
2025-06-01 0.001006 0.001263 0.001593 0.002057 0.002707 0.003610 0.005004
2025-06-08 0.000972 0.001233 0.001573 0.002057 0.002747 0.003725 0.005272
2025-06-15 0.000933 0.001194 0.001538 0.002035 0.002756 0.003796 0.005480
2025-06-22 0.000901 0.001164 0.001513 0.002026 0.002782 0.003894 0.005735
2025-06-29 0.000865 0.001125 0.001476 0.001997 0.002776 0.003942 0.005912
2025-07-06 0.000829 0.001087 0.001438 0.001964 0.002761 0.003973 0.006063
2025-07-13 0.000784 0.001034 0.001376 0.001894 0.002687 0.003908 0.006047
2025-07-20 0.000770 0.001024 0.001374 0.001912 0.002749 0.004061 0.006413
2025-07-27 0.000763 0.001023 0.001387 0.001952 0.002846 0.004275 0.006903
2025-08-03 0.000762 0.001030 0.001409 0.002008 0.002971 0.004544 0.007512
2025-08-10 0.000748 0.001019 0.001406 0.002023 0.003031 0.004705 0.007936
2025-08-17 0.000721 0.000987 0.001370 0.001986 0.003002 0.004712 0.008068